2021 Charles Schwab Challenge Sleeper Picks

The Charles Schwab Challenge gets the name change from the Fort Worth Invitational but even though the name keeps changing the course stays the same. The Colonial Country Club, which has hosted a PGA Tour tournament since 1946 is a Par 70 course that is 7,209 yards long and can be a scorers course, but don’t look at the bombers as the guys that have the advantage this week. Being accurate off the tee will be the most important factor and some players will club down to make sure they get into the fairway. This is a shot maker’s course and strong iron players excel at Colonial but don’t completely overlook the big stick specialists that could shorten the course quite a bit if they keep their accuracy stats up for the week.

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Charles Schwab Challenge Golf Course

Colonial Country Club par 70 - 7,209yards

There are a few important stats to focus on when doing your research to find sleeper picks for the Charles Schwab Challenge. One of the first to consider is Par 4 Scoring. As a Par 70 golf course, there are twelve Par 4’s with only two Par 5’s and the Par 5’s aren’t gimmies for eagle opportunities, so putting a heavy emphasis on Par 4 scoring is key. In the last 5 years the winner at Colonial was also in the Top 10 in Par 4 scoring for the week.

The tees, fairways and rough at Colonial are Bermuda grass while the putting green surfaces are Bent grass. Some guys that are just average putters just attack the Bent Grass surface and look like experts. Keep in mind the conditions leading up to and during the week of the Charles Schwab Challenge. Hot and dry conditions will make the surfaces really fast where the winds and the rains will have a whole other effect that the golfers will need to deal with. If it’s wet but not windy you will see tons of birdies during the week. The golfer that putts the best and has the lowest putts per round average for the week has won the event more often historically playing at Colonial.

Since we are talking putting we should look at Strokes-Gained Putting. In looking back at past winners historically about a third of the winners lead the field in Strokes Gained Putting and most of the other years it was a Top 10 stat which basically tells you how important it could be for finding not only a winner for the Charles Schwab Challenge but what sleepers will at least be higher up on the leaderboard.

Look for guys that do well in Scrambling stats. The greens at Colonial are small, some of the smallest on the PGA Tour schedule so scrambling is how guys will grind out pars or set themselves up for the birdie tries.

Consider strongly Fairway Accuracy. Because of how tight the fairways are most will stick to their irons but there are some that will try to overpower the course with the driver. No matter which they choose you want golfers that are good at both in case they favor one approach over another so look more at fairway accuracy stats as opposed to the more popular driving accuracy.

So who are the best sleepers this week? Basically look for guys that are sharp iron players and are putting well leading up to the Charles Schwab Challenge. Colonial used to be a scary course to play but with golf clubs and balls allowing for more distance Colonial is an easy course if the weather holds up. If it gets windy or the course gets super dry it could make it really hard to score so look for scramblers and guys that make the cut consistently to be successful this week.

Key Stats Summary for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge

Strokes Gained Putting

Fairway Accuracy

Strokes Gained Approach

Par 4 Scoring

Scrambling

Greens in Regulation

2021 Charles Schwab Challenge Tournament Preview

Check out our 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge Tournament Preview.