2021 WGC at The Concession Sleeper Picks

Mexico Championship Sleeper PicksThe top PGA Tour and European golfers in the world head down over the wall to Mexico City for the WGC Mexico Championship. Played at Club de Golf Chapultepec this is still a relatively new tournament on the schedule so we only have a couple of years of stats and history to go on for scoping out what are the best fantasy golf picks and more importantly best sleeper picks for the WGC Mexico Championship.

***This sleeper pick write up is for the WGC Mexico tournament. Since this is being played in Florida at The Concession we don't have the ability to do a write up of the course. See below for our sleeper picks this week at the bottom of the page for the World Golf Championship at The Concession ***

Club de Golf Chapultepec has two important features: it is heavily tree-lined and that it sits at an elevation of between 7,603 and 7,835 feet above sea level. This course is the highest course played on the PGA Tour so with the high altitude at Chapultepec, the yardage of 7,330 will play considerably shorter and with low humidity, the course will play about 10% shorter, so we are talking about the course playing like it was only 6,600 yards long.

Keep in mind, this is a small field no cut event so if you are looking for sleeper picks, any guy you take will play all four rounds unless he WD’s but that doesn’t mean you want to pick the cheapest guy on the board for your salary cap lineup since shooting bogeys or worse won’t help you win your DFS contests… and could lose them for you. For sleepers, target players who score well at the DFS site you are playing (DraftKings, FanDuel, FantasyDraft) and their fantasy golf scoring format. Since most of the current top 50 players in the world are competing this week the field is very strong so you may want to focus more on GPP’s instead of cash games.

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Expert Sleeper Picks for the WGC Mexico Championship

WGC - Mexico Championship Golf Course

Club de Golf Chapultepec par 71 - 7,330 yards

As we’ve mentioned, the World Golf Championship Mexico Championship Golf Course Club de Golf Chapultepec is a long course but because of the high altitude top distance drivers in the field have to club down on certain holes. This evens out the golf course for short hitters but there is still an advantage for the bombers who then have a shorter 2nd shot into the greens. Instead of drivers, irons and hybrids help players with accuracy which is needed to stay in the middle of the fairway and avoid the trees. In short, the high elevation helps players overpower the course, but many of the holes are doglegs lined by trees so they can’t overpower every hole.

This also means you can avoid staring at driving distance and driving accuracy stats and focus on some of the other ones.

The greens are Poa annua grass which means you can see how guys played recently on the west coast to see who handled them well and who had trouble. Not all PGA Tour pros love to putt on the Poa annua grass so that can help in making your final lineups. Look at the Strokes gained Putting stats since the greens average 6,200 square feet, which is pretty average on the PGA Tour so looking for guys that putt well and can pick up shots on the green is important especially with the bumpy Poa Annua greens. Last year Phil was third in strokes gained putting and was perfect from with 5 feet and 94% from within 10 feet putting. Remember, with Poa annua greens if it’s sunny and hot for a stretch the grass will grow inconsistent and become very bumpy. Conversely, if there happens to be a wet stretch leading up to the WGC Mexico Championship it could make the putting a bit easier.

Strokes gained tee to green is a good stat to focus on too. Dustin Johnson won the first tournament in Mexico and led the field in strokes gained tee to green and was fifth in strokes gained putting

Coincidentally both DJ and Phil can hit the ball long. They both proved that if you hit it long, land in the fairways and have a solid second wedge into the hole…chances are you will be hoisting the trophy on Sunday.

Par 4 and Par 5 scoring stats are ones to look into. There are drivable par 4’s and reachable in two par 5’s but they are pretty long so looking for who can take advantage and make birdies and eagles is important. Chapultepec’s three Par 5’s are easier for the longer hitters and offer up the best scoring chances. The Par 4’s will need solid wedge or short iron approaches so look for players who have been hot with the short sticks this season.

Birdie or Better percentage (BOB%) is worth looking at as a stat since the trees will force guys to chip out when they get caught up off the fairway. You can probably add scrambling stats to this but with a short field and golfers playing all four rounds you want guys that can find the birdies, even if they are going to get some bogies or doubles along the way.

Key Stats Summary for the WGC Mexico Championship

Strokes Gained Tee to Green

Birdie or Better %

Total Driving

Strokes Gained Approach

Par 4 Scoring

Par 5 Scoring

Strokes gained Putting

2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Tournament Preview

Check out our preview page for the 2020 Mexico Championship - World Golf Championship - Mexico Championship Preview

2021 World Golf Championship at The Concession Fantasy Golf Sleeper Picks

Scottie Scheffler - Last year’s rookie of the year has had a quiet start to the new season but has shown some signs of life with a T7 at the WM Phoenix Open and making the cut last week at the Genesis. He won’t be listed as a favorite to win this week which means in a 72 man field we get to list him on our sleeper picks list!

Justin Rose - Remember him? Rose hasn’t played much on the PGA Tour lately and even when he has played he’s been a bit meh! This will be the first time in 2021 playing a PGA Tour event but he just finished 2nd at the Saudi International against some still competition. Rose plays well in these big tournaments and makes a sneaky play this week if you want to bet on him to win outright. As a DraftKings pick, he should be more of a lost cost pick for your lineups.

Joaquin Niemann - Playing in only his second ever WGC tournament Niemann comes in playing some really good golf. He finished in 2nd in his first two tournaments of 2021 and was playing really well at the Genesis last week before the winds in the third round derailed him and knocked him out of contention. For a field like this Niemann is a solid pick to play well and score throughout the week!

For more WGC Mexico Championship Sleeper Picks that could help you win money this week click on the graphic below: